And until Ukrainians lack the skills and experience to treat social problems therapeutically (reforms), we will have to resort to surgical intervention (revolutions) from time to time.
I will not go into the details of long-standing discussions about whether the revolution is good or bad. Revolutions are a surgical intervention in chronically ill social life. And in full accordance with the medical analogy, sometimes this treatment can be worse than the disease – so much so that the patient dies in the process. And in most cases, with the “great revolutions” of the past, this is what happened.
However, sometimes the scalpel only speeds up what would have happened anyway, just later. If society is already so sick that no therapy helps, it is hardly worth blaming surgery for its failure. Because even a 10% chance of being cured is still better than a 100% chance of dying. Well, sometimes the disease is triggered in such a way that one intervention is not enough, so society has to go under the scalpel a second time. Or the third time. And the fourth time. And if he is very unlucky, then more times.
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Right before our eyes, the metaphor of revolutions as surgical intervention is confirmed again and again. And three times in the last 30 years, we managed to go under the scalpel on time, although we never finished the treatment.
However, you should not sprinkle your head with ashes. It was England, having gone through a revolution twice in the 17th century, that set off on the right path. But France had to resort to bloodletting four (and a half) times: in 1789, 1830, 1848 and 1871, and almost reached a revolution in 1968. Just as often, revolutions disturbed Spain. Exceptions, for example, the Scandinavian countries, are just exceptions.
Therefore, on the next anniversary of the Maidans, do not think about what revolutions bring more – bad or good. Think about what will happen if they don’t happen. So in Russia in 2012 and in Belarus in 2020, the revolutions failed. Did the inhabitants of these countries benefit greatly from this?
So, ideally, it is better not to lead to a revolution. But if the disease continues, it is pointless to be afraid of the scalpel. Yes, the day will come when the revolutions in Ukraine will finally be a thing of the past. But today, let’s honor those who gave their lives to give the rest another chance.
Let’s not waste it together.
About the author: Serhii Gromenko, journalist, security expert
The editors do not always share the opinions expressed by the authors of the blogs.