ISW predicted how the battle for Bahmut would unfold

ISW predicted how the battle for Bahmut would unfold

He writes about this in the daily report Institute for the Study of War.

American analysts draw attention to the fact that the speed of the advance of Russian troops in the Bakhmut area has probably slowed down in recent days, although it is still too early to assess whether the Russian offensive has reached its climax.

ISW notes that Russian military bloggers have admitted that the Ukrainians managed to slow down the pace of the occupiers’ advance around Bakhmut and nearby settlements. And one of them claimed that the Ukrainian troops pushed back the mercenaries of Wagner’s PMK to the positions they occupied a few days ago.

At the same time, Ukrainian sources in social networks previously claimed that the Armed Forces of Ukraine completely pushed out Russian troops from the eastern outskirts of Bakhmut around December 21.

According to ISW, Russian forces made slightly less progress in the Bakhmut area in November and December combined compared to October.

The Institute for the Study of War has suggested that Russian forces will find it difficult to maintain the pace of their offensive operations in the Bakhmut area and may try to initiate a tactical or operational pause.

“Russia’s relentless and expensive pressure on Bakhmut may impair the ability to achieve long-term goals in the theater of operations in the Donbas,” the ISW stated.

  • On December 24, the head of the GUR of the MoD, Kyrylo Budanov, said that Yevgeny Prigozhin is trying to capture Bakhmut in Donetsk region with the forces of Wagner’s PMK in order to strike at the authority of the Russian regular army and Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu.

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