Oleksandr Lukashenko realizes that in the event of a partial mobilization in Belarus, the situation will become more complicated and may lead to a social explosion.
This was reported by the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine.
«The Belarusian authorities are closely monitoring the mess that is taking place within the framework of the so-called partial mobilization in Russia, and understand that in the event of the announcement of partial mobilization in the Republic of Belarus, the situation will be even more complicated and may lead to a social explosion in the country.”– it is noted in the intelligence.
Lukashenko unexpectedly called Ukraine and the Russian Federation for negotiations: “Let’s stop the war and come to an agreement”According to the words of the Belarusian dictator, when it is possible to suspend hostilities, it will be possible to understand who is right and who is guilty.
October 15, 2022, 5:00 p.m
According to the GUR, Lukashenko is increasingly aware of the dangers of his decision to openly join Russia’s large-scale armed aggression against Ukraine.
As noted in the intelligence, in this connection the unrecognized president is trying to continue loud statements and show Putin that by his actions he is fulfilling the alliance obligations, which divert a significant part of the reserves of the Armed Forces from their possible use at the front in the east and south of Ukraine.
In addition, GUR notes, under the guise of intensification of mobilization measures, the Belarusian special services covertly study the possible reaction of society and readiness to take part in protest events.
«This shows that the self-proclaimed Belarusian authorities are not confident in the support of the broad sections of the population for decisions regarding their country’s participation in Russia’s military adventures“, – the GUR believes.
Earlier, the Ministry of Defense stated that the authorities of Belarus reserve the right to take preventive measures of strategic deterrence to prevent an attack.
On Saturday, October 15, the first echelons of Russian invaders, belonging to the regional group of troops, arrived in Belarus. Already on October 16, Russia began transferring military planes and helicopters that will make up the aviation component of the group.
On October 10, Oleksandr Lukashenko announced that he had agreed with Putin on the deployment of a “general regional grouping of troops.”