The offensive of the Russian invaders near Bakhmut has been

The offensive of the Russian invaders near Bakhmut has been exhausted – ISW

Under Bakhmut, the advance of the Russian invaders slowed down.  It will be difficult for them to maintain the high pace of their operations. Illustrative photoPhoto – Getty Images

The advance of the Russian military in the Bakhmut area has recently slowed down, and the Ukrainian Armed Forces continue to push back the mercenaries of the “Wagner” PMC.

About this reports American Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

According to analysts, in November and December, the Russian military made fewer offensives in the Bakhmut region than in October. It will be difficult for the Russians to continue the pace of operations, so they may try to initiate a tactical or operational pause.

At present, the invaders do not have the necessary supply of artillery ammunition to support large-scale offensive operations. The operational capabilities of the Russian forces in this area could also be affected by reports of heavy losses among the “Wagnerians”.

In the near future, the Russians will not be able to maintain a high pace of offensives. They allocated significant resources to capture Severodonetsk and Lysychansk in the spring and summer, culminating in the capture of Lysychansk in early July. However, the occupiers were unable to capture the neighboring Siversk and Slovyansk.

Because of the Russian military’s fixation on conducting a campaign of great attrition to achieve tactical goals, their ability to achieve larger goals was undermined. In particular, to surround the Ukrainian forces along the E40 highway and eventually reach the administrative borders of the Donetsk region.

The ISW also added that the offensive on Bakhmut, expensive for Russia, could undermine the ability to pursue long-term goals in Donbas.

ISW Key Findings:

  • Ukrainian intelligence suggests that the Russian military does not follow proper command structures or procedures.

  • Russian troops continued limited counterattacks to restore lost positions on the Kreminna-Svatov line.

  • Russian troops continued to conduct offensive actions in the area of ​​Bakhmut and Avdiivka.

  • The special forces of the Russian Federation were probably conducting reconnaissance of the Dnieper delta in order to study the Ukrainian defenses on the right bank of the Kherson region.

  • The Russian invaders hit a residential area of ​​Kherson with a rocket salvo system.

  • The Russian Orthodox Church asked the Kremlin to release its clergy from mobilization, despite supporting the war.

  • Russian officials plan to take the children from Horlivka to Belarus, possibly using the scheme to deport other children from Ukraine.

It will be recalled that the Russian military is concentrating its efforts on conducting offensive operations in the Lyman, Bakhmut, and Avdiiv areas. They are also trying to improve their position in the Kupyan direction.

Intense fighting is also taking place in the Avdiyivka and Vugledar regions of Donbas.

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Source: The offensive of the Russian invaders near Bakhmut has been exhausted – ISW

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