Currently, there is no information about the imminent threat of an invasion from Belarus, although such a possibility cannot be completely excluded. For the time being, the Russian army is trying to keep the Ukrainian troops under tension near the northern border.
According to him, with the help of activity in Belarus, Russia is trying to convince Ukraine to keep troops in the north. For example, the Russian Federation arranges “carousels” – takes soldiers by train towards the Ukrainian border, and then takes them back.
“All these are elements of disinformation campaigns”, – the head of the State Government believes.
Long-term risks remain, Budanov admitted. However, no intelligence indicates an immediate threat.
According to him, Russian troops are not lined up in assault formations. The mobilized are trained in Belarus before being sent to Donbas, but the training grounds lack proper attack equipment.
The threat of an invasion from the north is not inevitable, although it cannot be ruled out, the head of the GUR noted.
“It would be wrong to discount such a possibility. But it is also wrong to say that we have any data that would confirm its existence,” said Budanov.
The shelling of the border of the Kharkiv and Sumy regions also does not mean preparation for an invasion, the intelligence chief said. The Russian troops here are also not lined up in attack formations – and this is not done in a day.